A new cycle begins for the European real estate market
A new cycle begins for the European real estate market
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A new cycle begins for the European real estate market

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RE+D magazine
23.09.2024

"The companies that are to succeed in the real estate sector in the next decade will be those that will deliver benefit to both investors and society as a whole," said Jean-Pierre Hanin, CEO of Cofinimmo while taking over the EPRA Chairmanship. "The macroeconomic and geopolitical environment has dominated the markets worldwide since 2022, following the Covid crisis."

The long period of stability and very cheap financing that we used to enjoy before now seems like a distant memory. Volatility is still high while we are starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel. As market players, we can only focus on what we control or can influence, stated Mr. Hanin. 

His comment was imprinted on the board of the EPRA conference, and the background of the event’s speakers was a sky with moving clouds—sometimes dense, others transparent—but with sunlight breaking through as a sign that the difficulties are now over, as a sign that a new cycle begins for the European real estate market. 


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At the Annual Conference held this year in Berlin, discussions revolved around the economic prospects against a background of geopolitical challenges and the energy mix for the transition to a zero-footprint environment in 2050—as well as the intermediate goal of the end of the decade.

Economist Ian Shepherdson, founder of Pantheon Macroeconomics, presented the economic analysis, which was followed by a geopolitical discussion with historian and Harvard professor Sir Niall Ferguson and author Lord Andrew Roberts.

The professor, a former member of the Board of Directors of the German PPC Graham Weale and an expert on energy transition issues touched on the need to review the Green Deal on a more realistic basis, analyzing the existing sources of energy production. At the same time, the economic effects on the real estate market and the additional costs that companies pay were developed by Sven Bienert, MRICS REV, from the CRREM initiative with James Wilkinson, Head of BlackRock Global Real Asset Securities.

EPRA CEO Dominique Moerenhout noted that the local regulatory environment has been highly beneficial for various real estate sub-sectors. He specifically emphasized the initiatives taken at the European legislative level to strengthen several proposals, such as the CSRD and the taxonomy. These efforts aim to make the listed sector more appealing to institutional funds, including insurance funds. When it comes to sustainability, he mentioned that while the intentions are good, it's important to ensure that this legislation effectively achieves its goals in the long term without just adding to compliance costs.

During the conference, there were also discussions about the dominant and emerging trends and technological developments that, along with AI, have led to the growth of a market for Data Centers, a market that requires a significant amount of energy and expertise and is able to drive competitiveness in Mediterranean countries. These countries are where the clean energy production networks from Africa connect, and Spanish real estate companies are at the forefront of developing Data Centers to meet the demands of Northern Europe.The development cost of €10,000 per square meter justifies the rents that hyper scalers (such as Amazon, Google, and Microsoft), governments, media companies, and many other businesses using colocation centers for increased data storage needs are required to pay.

As for the remaining real estate sectors, residential rentals, biotechnology facilities, and tourism appear to be the most attractive to investors.