Unpacking ESG Ratings Supports New Strategies and Drives Investment Return
Unpacking ESG Ratings Supports New Strategies and Drives Investment Return

Unpacking ESG Ratings Supports New Strategies and Drives Investment Return

Exclusive article of Mr. Chris Pyke, Ph.D., Chief Innovation Officer, GRESB BV to RE&D Magazine
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RE+D magazine
13.03.2024

At their most basic level, ubiquitous ESG scores and ratings make it easy to view companies and funds through a “worst” to “best” framing - companies arrayed across a linear spectrum of ESG quality. This view of ESG ratings supports the most common investment strategy: prioritizing top performing companies, sometimes even excluding or divesting from low performers. However, sophisticated investors are exploring new ways to use ESG data to support a wider range of investment strategies.

These new approaches are rooted in “unpacking” ESG ratings using more granular information to reveal relative strengths, weaknesses, risks, and opportunities across the investable universe.

So how do property investors “unpack” ESG ratings from an organization like GRESB to support new investment strategies and uncover new drivers of investment returns?


#1 Unpack to Create New Investment Strategies 

The traditional approach to ESG management suggests that higher scores equal better investments. This can be true. Companies and funds with high GRESB scores, for example, are, by definition, superior to their peers with respect to how they are managed and perform with respect to environmental, social and governance issues. For context, a GRESB rating is a composite of three high-level components (Management, Performance, and Development) and an array of more granular aspects, including risk assessment, targets, energy, greenhouse gas emissions, water, waste, and building certifications (GRESB ESG Data & Metrics). Each element is scored to provide a composite rating against peers and the broader industry. Many investors use GRESB ratings to create and engage portfolios of best-in-class companies and funds (e.g., all top-rated GRESB entities).

Investing in today’s best companies and funds encourages investors to search for opportunities in the “top right” of the GRESB management and performance universe – an elite group of currently high-performing companies and funds. However, there are many more ways to find investment opportunities in ESG space.

The essence of real estate is to create value by investing for growth and positive impact. This might mean that investors search for promising opportunities among the low-scoring companies in the “lower left” of the GRESB universe. While these companies might be overlooked or even explicitly excluded using a traditional ESG lens, by reporting to GRESB these currently low-scoring companies have provided a level of transparency that creates more opportunities for investors. They can use this information to identify opportunities to create value of the course of an investment. Looking beyond the topline rating allows investors to find actionable opportunities related to energy efficiency, water conservation, waste management, stakeholder engagement, and other factors. Investors can use this information to pursue a “brown discount” when acquiring the company and a “green premium” when selling their investment (Addae-Dapaah and Wilkinson 2020).

 

Bottomline: Investors can unlock value by looking beyond the “upper right” of the GRESB universe, using sustainability as a strategy to reposition companies and capture superior returns.  

Figure 1. Investment strategies in the GRESB universe: (a) opportunities to invest in current top performers and (b) opportunities to invest in future top performers. (Chart is available here with the embedded chart here.)

Picture1 GRESB.png


 #2 Unpack to Find Drivers of Financial Returns

The traditional approach to ESG management follows the logic that higher scores equal better investments. This has been supported by a long history of econometric research.

For example, Cambridge researchers studied European listed property companies and found significant positive correlations between overall GRESB ratings and Return on Assets and Return on Equity (Carbon War Room 2015). Devine and colleagues (2022) presented more evidence of these relationships in an econometric study of private equity real estate. They found that GRESB participation and performance were significant predictors of cross-sectoral fund returns, including price appreciation.

Recent research suggests that “unpacking” ESG information can help investors better understand the drivers of outperformance and find returns, even in mature markets. A 2023 study of private real estate conducted in partnership with INREV connected GRESB ESG ratings with financial returns for 163 non-listed European property companies (Brounen and van der Spek 2023). The study affirmed positive correlations between ESG performance and financial returns, showing a buy-and-hold return advantage of 1.8% per year when comparing GRESB participants to non-participants.

Digging deeper, the study’s authors controlled for a wide range of co-varying factors, including strategy, market cycle and experience. The results indicated that relatively mature European private companies showed minimal opportunities for differentiation through management and governance practices. Conversely, they found that higher total returns were correlated with superior scores on the GRESB Performance Component and environmental performance metrics.

This insight suggests new opportunities for investors to “unpack” ESG ratings to focus on the qualities that best predict returns in target markets. In the case of European non-listed companies, this means prioritizing investments based on GRESB Performance Component scores and key environmental metrics (e.g., energy efficiency, greenhouse gas emissions). Predictors are likely to vary between markets and property types. Investors will need to customize how they unpack ratings to find relevant relationships in specific regions and markets.

 

Bottomline: Investors can “unpack” ESG ratings to find predictors of returns in specific market segments and circumstances.

Figure 2: Results from a study of 163 non-listed European funds show positive correlations between total returns and (a) entities with above average Performance Component ratings and (b) entities with long periods of participation. On average, firms with these characteristics have outperformed their peers. (Source: GRESB Public Results Dashboard)

(a)Picture3 GRESB.png

(b)Picture4 GRESB.png


While global investors use ESG data in various ways, many are going beyond the traditional engagement model to “unpack” ESG ratings to support new investment strategies and find new predictors of financial risk and return. This requires more nuanced and granular analyses of the ESG data available. Done right, the reward can be new investment opportunities, more predictable returns, and significant benefits for society and the environment. 


*This exclusive article from Mr. Chris Pyke, Ph.D., Chief Innovation Officer, GRESB BV (c.pyke@gresb.com) is part of RE&D Magazine's annual edition "New Rules of Engagement", available at this year's MIPIM 2024.